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I Think Obama Will Win - The Nomination

Matthew  Dowd, a former aide to and Campaign strategist for President George W. Bush, who recently split with Bush on a number of issues, published on the ABC News Website an opinion that is similar to mine, that Barack Obama will will the 2008 Democratic Nomination for President.
AS I stated before I think the combination of Hillary's money woes plus the power of elected  delegates at the Convention will raise the spectre the Democratic Party  nominating someone (Hillary) without "counting all the votes" (their battle cry during their blatantly illegal attempt to steal the Florida general election in Y2K). As Dowd puts it:

But here is the deal: how does a party who has protested and screamed and yelled about counting all the votes, that the popular vote matters most, that an election was stolen by the Supreme Court in 2000, go against the votes and participation by voters in the Primary process???

The answer is: I think it's impossible for the Democratic party establishment to go against voters in the Democratic primaries and caucuses.

A good analysis of this ironic situation the Democrats have themselves in is offered by Ed Morrissey at Captain's Quarters.

My good friend and advisor, the Ragologist, feels that the Clintons are so ruthless and tone deaf that they will ignore this, attempt to go to court to either free the Michigan and Florida delegates or stage new elections (again shades of 2000, except the proverbial shoe is on the Left foot). I think they are out of money and cannot afford a what could be a costly court fight.

The Ramussen Markets and Dick Morris are also predicting that an Obama victory is a possibility, probability. 

So we may get what we wanted - no Hillary. IS this what we really wanted? 49% of the country is already ready to vote against Hillary, Obama is an unknown who hasn't really run against a Republican and John McCain is considered by the majority of the Population as the  closest to the center.

So, as the Ragologist points out, that there is a long time between now and August (in Denver)and that the key Ohio and Texas primaries are still coming up. He also councils: Don't forget New Hampshire.

Finally, Obama is such a fool that he has great potential for many gaffes and stupid policy statements.

Where's my Lawn Sign?

Posted by BCORIG at  10:10 PDT on 2/11/2008
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